Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juarez vs Puebla

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Juárez
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Romero L. In: Garcia D.
Out: Romero L.
11' Event
Maestro I.
Assist: Herrera A.
46'
Sub
Ramirez A. In: Sanabria S.
Out: Ramirez A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Juarez and Puebla finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puebla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Juarez
15%
Draws
59%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puebla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Juarez carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Puebla a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Juarez Clean Sheet 10%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez Puebla
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Puebla
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Liga MX
Puebla vs Juarez
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Puebla
4:4
Mar 29, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Puebla
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Liga MX
Puebla vs Juarez
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Puebla Compare

Top Goalscorer Maestro I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez 10 / 100
Puebla 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez Puebla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puebla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juarez scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Puebla let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Juarez remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juarez VS Puebla
1 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez

(Home)
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1
Juarez
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
31 Aug
Toluca
4 : 0
Juarez
22 Aug
Juarez
1 : 2
Club America
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Puebla

(Away)
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1
Toluca
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1
Puebla
30 Aug
Club America
2 : 0
Puebla
23 Aug
Puebla
3 : 2
Santos Laguna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 8 6 1 1 18:6 19
2 Guadalajara Chivas 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Club America 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
4 Cruz Azul 8 5 0 3 16:14 15
5 Puebla 9 4 2 3 11:11 14
6 Queretaro 7 4 1 2 10:7 13
7 Club Leon 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
8 Club Tijuana 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
9 Atlas 8 4 1 3 12:14 13
10 Pachuca 8 3 2 3 13:8 11
11 UNAM Pumas 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
12 Monterrey 7 3 1 3 13:10 10
13 Necaxa 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
14 Atlante 9 1 5 3 8:13 8
15 Tigres UANL 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
16 Atletico San Luis 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
17 Santos Laguna 8 1 1 6 6:13 4
18 Juarez 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)