Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juarez vs Puebla

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Juárez
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Romero L. In: Garcia D.
Out: Romero L.
11' Event
Maestro I.
Assist: Herrera A.
46'
Sub
Ramirez A. In: Sanabria S.
Out: Ramirez A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Juarez and Puebla finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puebla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Juarez
39%
Draws
31%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Juarez carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Juarez Clean Sheet 16%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez Puebla
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Puebla
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Liga MX
Puebla vs Juarez
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Puebla
4:4
Mar 29, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Puebla
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Liga MX
Puebla vs Juarez
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Puebla Compare

Top Goalscorer Maestro I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez 30 / 100
Puebla 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez Puebla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juarez scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Puebla has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Juarez remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juarez VS Puebla
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez

(Home)
18 Jul
Juarez
0 : 1
Puebla
10 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 1
Juarez
04 Jul
Zacatecas Mineros
1 : 3
Juarez
01 Jul
Juarez
2 : 2
Atletico La Paz
28 Jun
Juarez
2 : 0
Atlante
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Puebla

(Away)
18 Jul
Juarez
0 : 1
Puebla
10 Jul
Atlas
3 : 4
Puebla
04 Jul
Pachuca
3 : 1
Puebla
01 Jul
Puebla
3 : 1
Tlaxcala
25 Apr
Puebla
1 : 2
Queretaro
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Tijuana22004:16
2Cruz Azul22005:36
3Atlas22004:26
4Club America21102:14
5Pachuca11003:03
6Monterrey11003:23
7Toluca21013:23
8Necaxa11002:13
9Puebla21012:23
10Guadalajara Chivas21011:23
11UNAM Pumas21012:43
12Atletico San Luis20114:51
13Atlante20112:31
14Tigres UANL20113:51
15Queretaro10010:10
16Santos Laguna20022:40
17Club Leon20022:40
18Juarez20020:20
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)