Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juarez W vs Necaxa W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Juárez
Juarez W Logo

Juarez W

1 - 0
FT
Necaxa W Logo

Necaxa W

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Plascencia S.
20'
Sub
Mercado L. In: Peraza C.
Out: Mercado L.
46'
Sub
Plascencia S. In: Isabel Melendez Villarreal A.
Out: Plascencia S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Juarez W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juarez W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Juarez W
15%
Draws
0%
Necaxa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juarez W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Necaxa W haven't matched Juarez W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Juarez W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Juarez W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Juarez W Clean Sheet 20%
Necaxa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez W Necaxa W
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 1
Draws 7 1
Losses 7 26
Goals Scored 1.61 0.54
Goals Conceded 0.94 3.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Necaxa W
1:0
Apr 1, 2026 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Juarez W
0:6
Oct 11, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Necaxa W
2:1
Jan 13, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Necaxa W
1:0
Sep 16, 2024 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Juarez W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez W Compare

Top Goalscorer Peraza C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Necaxa W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez W 85 / 100
Necaxa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez W Necaxa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juarez W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juarez W scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Necaxa W conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.

Juarez W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Necaxa W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juarez W VS Necaxa W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 4
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez W

(Home)
27 Sept
Juarez W
5 : 1
Club Tijuana W
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
08 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 1
Juarez W
30 Aug
Juarez W
1 : 0
Cruz Azul W
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Necaxa W

(Away)
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
30 Aug
Puebla W
4 : 1
Necaxa W
24 Aug
Necaxa W
0 : 7
Club America W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 8 7 0 1 33:9 21
2 Tigres UANL W 8 7 0 1 28:8 21
3 Juarez W 9 7 0 2 14:6 21
4 Toluca W 8 5 1 2 19:15 16
5 Club Leon W 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
6 Santos Laguna W 9 4 0 5 12:20 12
7 Cruz Azul W 9 4 0 5 11:21 12
8 Atlante W 8 2 0 6 6:12 6
9 Queretaro W 9 2 0 7 10:21 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 8 7 1 0 37:7 22
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 9 6 0 3 20:11 18
3 Atletico San Luis W 8 5 0 3 21:15 15
4 UNAM Pumas W 8 4 0 4 17:14 12
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 9 3 1 5 13:13 10
7 Club Tijuana W 9 2 0 7 12:24 6
8 Puebla W 8 1 0 7 12:36 3
9 Necaxa W 8 0 0 8 3:32 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)