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Juarez W vs Pachuca W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Juárez
Juarez W Logo

Juarez W

1 - 0
FT
Pachuca W Logo

Pachuca W

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Rodriguez M. In: Espinoza G.
Out: Rodriguez M.
42'
Nicosia N.
46'
Sub
Vance M. In: Orejel J.
Out: Vance M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Juarez W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juarez W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Juarez W
15%
Draws
17%
Pachuca W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juarez W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Pachuca W at 2.07 per game, Juarez W at 1.47.
  • Win probability leans Juarez W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pachuca W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Juarez W Clean Sheet 20%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez W Pachuca W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.47 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Pachuca W
1:0
Feb 23, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Juarez W
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Pachuca W
2:3
Feb 11, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Juarez W
6:1
Nov 11, 2024 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Juarez W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez W Compare

Top Goalscorer Palafox N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Pachuca W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez W 85 / 100
Pachuca W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez W Pachuca W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juarez W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juarez W scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Pachuca W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Juarez W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juarez W VS Pachuca W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez W

(Home)
04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Juarez W
27 Sept
Juarez W
5 : 1
Club Tijuana W
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
08 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 1
Juarez W
Page 1 of 6

Pachuca W

(Away)
05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2
Toluca W
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1
Santos Laguna W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
06 Sept
Club Tijuana W
3 : 1
Pachuca W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)