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Juarez W vs Santos Laguna W Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Juárez
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Castillo M.
18' Event
Solorzano A.
29' Event
Solorzano A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Juarez W and Santos Laguna W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juarez W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Juarez W
15%
Draws
36%
Santos Laguna W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juarez W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juarez W come out ahead of Santos Laguna W on wins alone.
  • Juarez W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Juarez W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Juarez W Clean Sheet 68%
Santos Laguna W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez W Santos Laguna W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.55 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Santos Laguna W
3:2
Mar 21, 2026 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Santos Laguna W
2:0
Oct 7, 2025 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Juarez W
0:0
Jan 28, 2025 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Juarez W
1:2
Aug 4, 2024 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Santos Laguna W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez W Compare

Top Goalscorer Solorzano A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Santos Laguna W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez W 95 / 100
Santos Laguna W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez W Santos Laguna W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juarez W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juarez W scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Santos Laguna W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Juarez W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juarez W VS Santos Laguna W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez W

(Home)
04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Juarez W
27 Sept
Juarez W
5 : 1
Club Tijuana W
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
08 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 1
Juarez W
Page 1 of 7

Santos Laguna W

(Away)
02 Oct
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0
Puebla W
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1
Santos Laguna W
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0
Cruz Azul W
13 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 3
Santos Laguna W
07 Sept
Tigres UANL W
3 : 0
Santos Laguna W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 17 13 3 1 44:13 42
2 Monterrey W 17 12 4 1 39:8 40
3 Tigres UANL W 17 11 4 2 41:13 37
4 Pachuca W 17 11 3 3 46:15 36
5 Guadalajara Chivas W 17 9 7 1 27:13 34
6 Toluca W 17 10 3 4 38:26 33
7 Cruz Azul W 17 9 4 4 38:19 31
8 Juarez W 17 8 5 4 27:18 29
9 Club Tijuana W 17 8 4 5 31:23 28
10 UNAM Pumas W 17 6 4 7 23:29 22
11 Atletico San Luis W 17 6 3 8 20:32 21
12 Mazatlan FC W 17 5 3 9 19:27 18
13 Club Leon W 17 4 4 9 32:35 16
14 Atlas W 17 3 3 11 22:40 12
15 Puebla W 17 3 2 12 11:46 11
16 Santos Laguna W 17 2 3 12 14:29 9
17 Queretaro W 17 1 2 14 11:46 5
18 Necaxa W 17 1 1 15 11:62 4
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)