Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juarez W vs UNAM Pumas W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Juárez
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Flores S. In: Huerta A.
Out: Flores S.
26' Event
Bolanos N.
51'
Lopez Y.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Juarez W and UNAM Pumas W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Juarez W
15%
Draws
28%
UNAM Pumas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juarez W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juarez W come out ahead of UNAM Pumas W on wins alone.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Juarez W Clean Sheet 15%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juarez W UNAM Pumas W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.62
Goals Conceded 1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Juarez W
2:2
Jan 20, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:1
Jul 26, 2024 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Juarez W
3:2
Jan 23, 2024 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Juarez W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juarez W Compare

Top Goalscorer Asantewaa G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

UNAM Pumas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolanos N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juarez W 30 / 100
UNAM Pumas W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juarez W UNAM Pumas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juarez W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juarez W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

UNAM Pumas W let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Juarez W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Juarez W VS UNAM Pumas W
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Juarez W

(Home)
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
08 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 1
Juarez W
30 Aug
Juarez W
1 : 0
Cruz Azul W
23 Aug
Juarez W
3 : 2
Santos Laguna W
16 Aug
Tigres UANL W
1 : 0
Juarez W
Page 1 of 6

UNAM Pumas W

(Away)
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
05 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2
Club America W
30 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
0 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
21 Aug
UNAM Pumas W
5 : 0
Queretaro W
15 Aug
Pachuca W
3 : 1
UNAM Pumas W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 17 13 3 1 44:13 42
2 Monterrey W 17 12 4 1 39:8 40
3 Tigres UANL W 17 11 4 2 41:13 37
4 Pachuca W 17 11 3 3 46:15 36
5 Guadalajara Chivas W 17 9 7 1 27:13 34
6 Toluca W 17 10 3 4 38:26 33
7 Cruz Azul W 17 9 4 4 38:19 31
8 Juarez W 17 8 5 4 27:18 29
9 Club Tijuana W 17 8 4 5 31:23 28
10 UNAM Pumas W 17 6 4 7 23:29 22
11 Atletico San Luis W 17 6 3 8 20:32 21
12 Mazatlan FC W 17 5 3 9 19:27 18
13 Club Leon W 17 4 4 9 32:35 16
14 Atlas W 17 3 3 11 22:40 12
15 Puebla W 17 3 2 12 11:46 11
16 Santos Laguna W 17 2 3 12 14:29 9
17 Queretaro W 17 1 2 14 11:46 5
18 Necaxa W 17 1 1 15 11:62 4
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)