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Juazeirense vs Jequie

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Estádio Adauto Moraes, Juazeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Victor Ramos
45'
Weverton
50'
Sub
Italo In: Bravo
Out: Italo

AI Match Summary

The Baiano game between Juazeirense and Jequie finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juazeirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Juazeirense
35%
Draws
40%
Jequie
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jequie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Juazeirense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jequie are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Baiano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Juazeirense have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Juazeirense Clean Sheet 16%
Jequie Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juazeirense Jequie
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2026 Baiano
Juazeirense vs Jequie
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 Serie D
Juazeirense vs Jequie
2:1
May 11, 2025 Serie D
Jequie vs Juazeirense
2:3
Jan 12, 2025 Baiano
Jequie vs Juazeirense
0:1
Jan 25, 2024 Baiano
Juazeirense vs Jequie
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juazeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Nathan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Jequie Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juazeirense 15 / 100
Jequie 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juazeirense Jequie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jequie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jequie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Juazeirense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Juazeirense's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Juazeirense VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juazeirense

(Home)
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1
Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Juazeirense
14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1
Juazeirense
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Jacuipense
2 : 2
Juazeirense
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Jequie

(Away)
22 Feb
Jequie
1 : 1
Barcelona FC
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Jequie
2 : 2
Vitoria
04 Feb
Jacuipense
0 : 2
Jequie
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia 9 7 2 0 26:9 23
2 Vitoria 9 4 4 1 13:4 16
3 Jacuipense 9 3 4 2 11:10 13
4 Juazeirense 9 3 4 2 7:9 13
5 Jequie 9 3 3 3 15:13 12
6 Porto-BA 9 2 5 2 10:12 11
7 Barcelona FC 9 2 4 3 7:15 10
8 Galicia 9 3 0 6 7:14 9
9 Bahia de Feira 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
10 Alagoinhas 9 0 3 6 5:14 3
Promotion - Baiano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Baiano 2 2027 (Main)