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Jubba vs Dekedda

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Jubba and Dekedda finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dekedda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jubba
15%
Draws
85%
Dekedda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dekedda come out ahead of Jubba on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dekedda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jubba Clean Sheet 10%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jubba Dekedda
Matches Played 22 32
Wins 2 17
Draws 0 8
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.77 2.09
Goals Conceded 4.36 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 National league
Jubba vs Dekedda
1:7
May 4, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Jubba
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jubba 10 / 100
Dekedda 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jubba Dekedda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dekedda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Dekedda conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Jubba's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jubba VS Dekedda
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
5.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jubba

(Home)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
Page 1 of 5

Dekedda

(Away)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Dekedda
5 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)