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Junior Decin vs Horni Jiretin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Ustecky KP
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Junior Decin host Horni Jiretin in the Ustecky KP. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Horni Jiretin have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Junior Decin have conceded 2.48 and scored 2.26. Head-to-head, Junior Decin have won 2 to Horni Jiretin's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2024, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.56 - 1.94) back Junior Decin to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Junior Decin
30%
Draws
35%
Horni Jiretin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Horni Jiretin have managed 2.03 goals a game lately — Junior Decin are scoring more at 2.26.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Ustecky KP form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Junior Decin Clean Sheet 10%
Horni Jiretin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Junior Decin Horni Jiretin
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 2.26 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 1. A trida (ULK)
Junior Decin vs Horni Jiretin
2:1
Aug 12, 2023 1. A trida (ULK)
Horni Jiretin vs Junior Decin
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junior Decin 30 / 100
Horni Jiretin 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Junior Decin Horni Jiretin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Junior Decin found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Horni Jiretin conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Junior Decin stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Junior Decin VS Horni Jiretin
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Junior Decin

(Home)
03 Oct
Modlany
4 : 1
Junior Decin
26 Sept
Junior Decin
0 : 1
Nestemice
19 Sept
Junior Decin
4 : 2
Probostov
13 Sept
Louny
4 : 5
Junior Decin
05 Sept
Junior Decin
3 : 4
Ledvice
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Horni Jiretin

(Away)
03 Oct
Horni Jiretin
1 : 1
Louny
26 Sept
Ledvice
2 : 2
Horni Jiretin
19 Sept
Horni Jiretin
0 : 1
Zatec
12 Sept
Litomericko
2 : 2
Horni Jiretin
05 Sept
Horni Jiretin
3 : 2
Tatran Kadan
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