Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena

Junior

3 - 2

Sporting Cristal

Our Tip

Match Events

Muriel L.

28'

Perez K.

Assist: Rivas J.

36'

Muriel L.

Assist: Herrera E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Junior in this Copa Libertadores tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Junior

20%

Draws

38%

Sporting Cristal

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Junior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Sporting Cristal haven't matched Junior's recent run of results.
Model gives Junior a 42% chance of winning this.
Junior have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Junior, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Junior Clean Sheet 15%

Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Junior	Sporting Cristal
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	11
Draws	6	5
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.38	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Junior vs Sporting Cristal

3:2

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal vs Junior

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Junior Compare

Top Goalscorer Muriel L.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Perez K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sporting Cristal Compare

Top Goalscorer Yotun Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cazonatti G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junior 41 / 100

Sporting Cristal 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Junior Sporting Cristal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Junior scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Sporting Cristal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Junior stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Junior VS Sporting Cristal

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Junior

(Home)

29 Jul

Barranquilla

4 : 3

Junior

26 Jul

Deportes Tolima

2 : 1

Junior

23 Jul

Junior

2 : 2

Barranquilla

08 Jun

Atl. Nacional

1 : 0

Junior

03 Jun

Junior

3 : 0

Atl. Nacional

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Sporting Cristal

(Away)

30 Jul

Bragantino

1 : 0

Sporting Cristal

26 Jul

FBC Melgar

2 : 1

Sporting Cristal

23 Jul

Sporting Cristal

0 : 0

Bragantino

17 Jul

Sporting Cristal

1 : 0

Deportivo Garcilaso

11 Jul

Sporting Cristal

2 : 1

Tacna Heroica

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