Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Junior W vs Alianza W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Miranda Y.
20' Event
Arroyo S.
Assist: Baldovino A.
21' Event
Sandoval A.
Assist: Garrido E.

AI Match Summary

Junior W in this Liga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Junior W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Junior W
20%
Draws
0%
Alianza W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Junior W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Alianza W have won more games recently than Junior W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Junior W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Junior W Clean Sheet 16%
Alianza W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Junior W Alianza W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 11 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.06
Goals Conceded 2 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Liga Women
Junior W vs Alianza W
4:3
Apr 27, 2025 Liga Women
Alianza W vs Junior W
2:5
Apr 6, 2024 Liga Women
Alianza W vs Junior W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Junior W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arroyo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cordero C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Alianza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cabrales V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junior W 30 / 100
Alianza W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Junior W Alianza W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Junior W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Away concern: Alianza W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Alianza W let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Junior W scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Junior W VS Alianza W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Junior W

(Home)
09 Aug
Inter Palmira W
2 : 1
Junior W
03 Aug
Junior W
0 : 1
Bucaramanga W
25 Jul
Junior W
0 : 0
Millonarios W
29 May
Orsomarso W
5 : 1
Junior W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Fortaleza W
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Alianza W

(Away)
21 Jun
Real Santander W
3 : 2
Alianza W
14 Jun
Alianza W
0 : 3
Millonarios W
10 Jun
Junior W
4 : 3
Alianza W
24 May
Alianza W
1 : 2
Inter Palmira W
17 May
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Alianza W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 35:7 38
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 11 2 3 32:12 35
3 Atl. Nacional W 16 7 8 1 22:10 29
4 Ind. Medellin W 16 9 2 5 24:14 29
5 Inter Palmira W 16 8 3 5 19:18 27
6 America de Cali W 16 7 5 4 19:13 26
7 Orsomarso W 16 7 4 5 23:14 25
8 Millonarios W 16 6 6 4 25:20 24
9 Inter Bogotá W 16 6 6 4 14:9 24
10 Dep. Pasto W 16 6 5 5 21:17 23
11 Junior W 16 3 5 8 21:37 14
12 Real Santander W 16 2 7 7 9:18 13
13 Once Caldas W 16 2 6 8 12:23 12
14 Alianza W 16 3 1 12 15:37 10
15 Fortaleza W 16 2 4 10 12:37 10
16 Bucaramanga W 16 1 6 9 5:22 9
Promotion - Liga Women 2025 (Promotion Group)