Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Junior W vs Indep. Santa Fe W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Romelio Martinez
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Baldovino M.
55'
Moreno Y.
56'
Sub
Valbuena K. In: Graterol F.
Out: Valbuena K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Junior W
6%
Draws
90%
Indep. Santa Fe W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Indep. Santa Fe W lately — more wins on the board than Junior W.
  • Win probability leans Indep. Santa Fe W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Junior W Clean Sheet 18%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Junior W Indep. Santa Fe W
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 5 17
Draws 10 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Liga Women
Junior W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:1
May 23, 2025 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Junior W
6:0
May 26, 2024 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Junior W
3:2
Apr 24, 2023 Liga Women
Junior W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:1
Apr 23, 2022 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Junior W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Junior W Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldovino M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Motta C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junior W 10 / 100
Indep. Santa Fe W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Junior W Indep. Santa Fe W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Junior W scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Junior W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Indep. Santa Fe W conceded in 51% of 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Junior W VS Indep. Santa Fe W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W13110225:533
2Dep. Cali W13102129:632
3America de Cali W1392222:629
4Millonarios W1384128:728
5Indep. Santa Fe W1374223:925
6Inter Bogotá W1371519:1422
7Inter Palmira W1363412:1521
8Ind. Medellin W1361620:1519
9Orsomarso W1336413:1315
10Fortaleza W133469:1813
11Llaneros W133469:2113
12Junior W1325611:2111
13Bucaramanga W132299:338
14Once Caldas W131485:197
15Real Santander W130763:197
16Dep. Pasto W1303108:243