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Jupiter vs Gava

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gava in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Jupiter
30%
Draws
29%
Gava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jupiter

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Jupiter have won more games recently than Gava.
  • Model gives Jupiter a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jupiter Clean Sheet 17%
Gava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jupiter Gava
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 8 5
Draws 11 9
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.94 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Jupiter vs Gava
1:4
Oct 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs Jupiter
2:3
Apr 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs Jupiter
1:0
Nov 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Jupiter vs Gava
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jupiter 57 / 100
Gava 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jupiter Gava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jupiter Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gava has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Attacking prowess: Jupiter scored in 63% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jupiter stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jupiter VS Gava
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jupiter

(Home)
27 Sept
Jupiter
2 : 1
UE Castelldefels
19 Sept
Jupiter
2 : 3
Sant Andreu
14 May
Jupiter
1 : 4
Peralada
07 May
La Jonquera
0 : 0
Jupiter
30 Apr
Jupiter
2 : 1
Sabadell B
Page 1 of 7

Gava

(Away)
28 Aug
Gava
0 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Gava
3 : 4
Prat
13 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 1
Gava
06 May
Gava
2 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
29 Apr
FC Vilafranca
3 : 0
Gava
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prat 38 21 15 2 62:26 78
2 Gava 38 18 15 5 69:38 69
3 CE Europa 38 18 14 6 60:33 68
4 Montanesa 38 19 8 11 52:35 65
5 FC Vilafranca 38 19 7 12 68:55 64
6 Sabadell B 38 17 11 10 57:41 62
7 Sant Andreu 38 16 8 14 54:46 56
8 Cerdanyola del Valles 38 15 9 14 52:50 54
9 UE Figueres 38 15 8 15 48:40 53
10 Jupiter 38 15 5 18 60:68 50
11 FC Asco 38 13 11 14 35:43 50
12 Manlleu AEC 38 15 4 19 44:58 49
13 Peralada 38 11 14 13 50:54 47
14 Terrassa 38 14 5 19 43:61 47
15 Palamos CF 38 10 16 12 54:54 46
16 Santfeliuenc 38 11 12 15 47:55 45
17 Granollers 38 12 8 18 52:63 44
18 UE Rubi 38 10 10 18 38:57 40
19 CD Morell 38 8 6 24 29:70 30
20 CD Masnou 38 6 8 24 40:67 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)