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Jura Sud vs Ales

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National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Adelaide M.
90' Event
Zakouani H.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 game between Jura Sud and Ales finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jura Sud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Jura Sud
35%
Draws
50%
Ales
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Jura Sud haven't matched Ales's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Ales taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Jura Sud Clean Sheet 17%
Ales Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jura Sud Ales
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 15 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Jura Sud vs Ales
2:0
Nov 11, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Ales vs Jura Sud
1:1
Feb 4, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Ales vs Jura Sud
2:0
Sep 3, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Jura Sud vs Ales
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jura Sud Compare

Top Goalscorer Adelaide M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zakouani H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Ales Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jura Sud 28 / 100
Ales 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jura Sud Ales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ales Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ales's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jura Sud remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Jura Sud found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Jura Sud VS Ales
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Jura Sud

(Home)
17 May
Istres
4 : 2
Jura Sud
10 May
Jura Sud
0 : 1
GOAL FC
03 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 1
Jura Sud
26 Apr
Jura Sud
0 : 0
Angouleme CFC
19 Apr
Hyeres
1 : 1
Jura Sud
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Ales

(Away)
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5
Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2
Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0
Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
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