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Justo Jose de Urquiza vs El Porvenir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Justo Jose de Urquiza Logo

Justo Jose de Urquiza

0 - 1
FT
El Porvenir Logo

El Porvenir

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rodriguez H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera C game between Justo Jose de Urquiza and El Porvenir finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Porvenir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Justo Jose de Urquiza
30%
Draws
23%
El Porvenir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Justo Jose de Urquiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • El Porvenir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Justo Jose de Urquiza taking it.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Justo Jose de Urquiza Clean Sheet 68%
El Porvenir Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Justo Jose de Urquiza El Porvenir
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 14 14
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.66 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Primera C
Justo Jose de Urquiza vs El Porvenir
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Justo Jose de Urquiza
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Justo Jose de Urquiza
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Primera C
Justo Jose de Urquiza vs El Porvenir
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 Primera C
Justo Jose de Urquiza vs El Porvenir
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Justo Jose de Urquiza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

El Porvenir Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Justo Jose de Urquiza 95 / 100
El Porvenir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Justo Jose de Urquiza El Porvenir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Justo Jose de Urquiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: El Porvenir conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Justo Jose de Urquiza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

El Porvenir's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Justo Jose de Urquiza's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Justo Jose de Urquiza VS El Porvenir
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Justo Jose de Urquiza

(Home)
04 Oct
Puerto Nuevo
1 : 4
Justo Jose de Urquiza
28 Sept
Justo Jose de Urquiza
1 : 2
Leandro N. Alem
18 Sept
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 0
Justo Jose de Urquiza
13 Sept
Justo Jose de Urquiza
0 : 0
General Lamadrid
06 Sept
Justo Jose de Urquiza
2 : 0
Juventud Unida San Miguel
Page 1 of 6

El Porvenir

(Away)
05 Oct
El Porvenir
1 : 1
Canuelas
29 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
3 : 2
El Porvenir
21 Sept
El Porvenir
0 : 2
Deportivo Espanol
12 Sept
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 1
El Porvenir
05 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 0
El Porvenir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)