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Justo Jose de Urquiza vs Leandro N. Alem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Risso B.
(Penalty)
26' Event
Sane I. J.
68'
Garcia B.

AI Match Summary

Leandro N. Alem in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leandro N. Alem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Justo Jose de Urquiza
30%
Draws
23%
Leandro N. Alem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Justo Jose de Urquiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Leandro N. Alem have won more games recently than Justo Jose de Urquiza.
  • Win probability leans Justo Jose de Urquiza's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Justo Jose de Urquiza Clean Sheet 68%
Leandro N. Alem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Justo Jose de Urquiza Leandro N. Alem
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 14 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.66 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Primera C
Justo Jose de Urquiza vs Leandro N. Alem
1:2
May 31, 2026 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Justo Jose de Urquiza
2:0
Jul 13, 2025 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Justo Jose de Urquiza
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Primera C
Justo Jose de Urquiza vs Leandro N. Alem
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Justo Jose de Urquiza
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Justo Jose de Urquiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Sane I. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Leandro N. Alem Compare

Top Goalscorer Lescano T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Justo Jose de Urquiza 86 / 100
Leandro N. Alem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Justo Jose de Urquiza Leandro N. Alem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Justo Jose de Urquiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leandro N. Alem let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Justo Jose de Urquiza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Leandro N. Alem has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Justo Jose de Urquiza found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Justo Jose de Urquiza VS Leandro N. Alem
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Justo Jose de Urquiza

(Home)
04 Oct
Puerto Nuevo
1 : 4
Justo Jose de Urquiza
28 Sept
Justo Jose de Urquiza
1 : 2
Leandro N. Alem
18 Sept
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 0
Justo Jose de Urquiza
13 Sept
Justo Jose de Urquiza
0 : 0
General Lamadrid
06 Sept
Justo Jose de Urquiza
2 : 0
Juventud Unida San Miguel
Page 1 of 6

Leandro N. Alem

(Away)
06 Oct
Leandro N. Alem
1 : 5
CSR Espanol
28 Sept
Justo Jose de Urquiza
1 : 2
Leandro N. Alem
20 Sept
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1
Mercedes
12 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
0 : 0
Leandro N. Alem
06 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
4 : 1
Leandro N. Alem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)