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Juticalpa vs Genesis FC

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Gutierrez Vargas Y. N.
13' Event
Gabriel A.
19'
Santos L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Juticalpa
17%
Draws
70%
Genesis FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Genesis FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Genesis FC have won more games recently than Juticalpa.
  • Win probability leans Genesis FC's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Juticalpa Clean Sheet 16%
Genesis FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juticalpa Genesis FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Juticalpa
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Genesis FC
1:1
Dec 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Juticalpa
2:2
Sep 25, 2025 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Genesis FC
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Juticalpa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juticalpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez Vargas Y. N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Genesis FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juticalpa 15 / 100
Genesis FC 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juticalpa Genesis FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juticalpa's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Genesis FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Juticalpa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juticalpa VS Genesis FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Espana20117237:2540
2Motagua20116336:1739
3Olimpia20115435:1738
4Olancho2088428:1632
5Marathon2076723:1927
6Genesis FC2065920:2823
7CD Choloma2065923:3223
8Platense2056926:2921
9Lobos UPNFM2056923:3021
10Juticalpa20461018:4118
11Victoria20441225:4016