Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juticalpa vs Olancho

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Ilan
14' Event
Sanchez J.
16' Event
Lopez K. J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Juticalpa and Olancho finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olancho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Juticalpa
30%
Draws
47%
Olancho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olancho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olancho come out ahead of Juticalpa on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Olancho taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Juticalpa Clean Sheet 16%
Olancho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juticalpa Olancho
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 7 13
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Juticalpa
1:0
Apr 9, 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Olancho
0:4
Feb 14, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Juticalpa
4:1
Oct 16, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Juticalpa
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Olancho
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juticalpa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Olancho Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez K. J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juticalpa 23 / 100
Olancho 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juticalpa Olancho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olancho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juticalpa's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Olancho let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Juticalpa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juticalpa VS Olancho
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juticalpa

(Home)
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
22 Aug
Estrella
5 : 2
Juticalpa
17 Aug
Olancho
1 : 0
Juticalpa
09 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 3
Olimpia
Page 1 of 6

Olancho

(Away)
12 Sept
Olancho
1 : 1
Real Espana
05 Sept
CD Choloma
0 : 0
Olancho
30 Aug
Motagua
2 : 1
Olancho
23 Aug
Olancho
1 : 1
Olimpia
17 Aug
Olancho
1 : 0
Juticalpa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 20 11 7 2 37:25 40
2 Motagua 20 11 6 3 36:17 39
3 Olimpia 20 11 5 4 35:17 38
4 Olancho 20 8 8 4 28:16 32
5 Marathon 20 7 6 7 23:19 27
6 Genesis FC 20 6 5 9 20:28 23
7 CD Choloma 20 6 5 9 23:32 23
8 Platense 20 5 6 9 26:29 21
9 Lobos UPNFM 20 5 6 9 23:30 21
10 Juticalpa 20 4 6 10 18:41 18
11 Victoria 20 4 4 12 25:40 16
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Triangulares)