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Juv. Evora vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Elias R.
37' Event
Santos R.
62' Event
Pica Godinho B.

AI Match Summary

Juv. Evora in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juv. Evora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Juv. Evora
30%
Draws
12%
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juv. Evora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Juv. Evora have won more games recently than Vasco da Gama Vidigueira.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Juv. Evora taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 68%
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juv. Evora Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 11 11
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.52 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
4:1
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Juv. Evora
0:0
Jan 28, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2:2
Sep 17, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Juv. Evora
0:2
Jan 29, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira vs Juv. Evora
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juv. Evora Compare

Top Goalscorer Elias R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Compare

Top Goalscorer Pica Godinho B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juv. Evora 95 / 100
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juv. Evora Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juv. Evora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juv. Evora scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Juv. Evora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juv. Evora VS Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2 Goals Scored 0.57
1 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Juv. Evora

(Home)
04 Oct
Lajense
2 : 0
Juv. Evora
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Portel
30 Aug
Uniao Montemor
1 : 4
Juv. Evora
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Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

(Away)
18 Apr
Juv. Evora
4 : 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
12 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2 : 5
Louletano
04 Apr
Sintrense
4 : 0
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
22 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 0
Portimonense B
15 Mar
Malveira
4 : 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)