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Juve Stabia vs Catanzaro

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia
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Match Events

18' Event
Mosti N.
Assist: Gabrielloni A.
61'
Torrasi E.
63'
Sub
Torrasi E. In: Leone G.
Out: Torrasi E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Juve Stabia and Catanzaro finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Juve Stabia
15%
Draws
40%
Catanzaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juve Stabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Catanzaro come out ahead of Juve Stabia on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Juve Stabia taking it.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Juve Stabia Clean Sheet 68%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juve Stabia Catanzaro
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 12 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Catanzaro
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Juve Stabia
2:2
May 1, 2025 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Catanzaro
2:0
Aug 25, 2024 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Juve Stabia
0:0
Feb 25, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Juve Stabia vs Catanzaro
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juve Stabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosti N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Catanzaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Francesco F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juve Stabia 50 / 100
Catanzaro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juve Stabia Catanzaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juve Stabia found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Catanzaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Juve Stabia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Juve Stabia VS Catanzaro
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Juve Stabia

(Home)
31 Jul
Juve Stabia
5 : 1
Ischia
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4
Juve Stabia
19 May
Monza
2 : 1
Juve Stabia
16 May
Juve Stabia
2 : 2
Monza
12 May
Modena
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
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Catanzaro

(Away)
05 Aug
Catanzaro
3 : 0
Giugliano
29 Jul
Catanzaro
3 : 1
Paradiso
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2
Monza
20 May
Palermo
2 : 0
Catanzaro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)