Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juvenes/Dogana vs Cailungo

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese San Marino Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juvenes/Dogana play Cailungo in the Campionato Sammarinese. Juvenes/Dogana are favorites here. Recently, Juvenes/Dogana averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Cailungo averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Juvenes/Dogana won 4, Cailungo won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 1, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Juvenes/Dogana and 1.00 for Cailungo. This points to a Juvenes/Dogana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Juvenes/Dogana
24%
Draws
13%
Cailungo
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Juvenes/Dogana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Juvenes/Dogana picked up more points recently compared to Cailungo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 23%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juvenes/Dogana Cailungo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 23
Goals Scored 1.13 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Cailungo
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Juvenes/Dogana
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Cailungo
2:0
Apr 14, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Cailungo
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juvenes/Dogana 61 / 100
Cailungo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juvenes/Dogana Cailungo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juvenes/Dogana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Juvenes/Dogana & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Juvenes/Dogana attacking → ← attacking Cailungo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juvenes/Dogana scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Cailungo let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Juvenes/Dogana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cailungo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 11
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2