Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juvenes/Dogana vs Tre Fiori

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese San Marino Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Prandelli M.
Assist: Benedettini F.
16' Event
Bernardi T. L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Tre Fiori in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tre Fiori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Juvenes/Dogana
39%
Draws
31%
Tre Fiori
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tre Fiori have won more games recently than Juvenes/Dogana.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tre Fiori have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 68%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juvenes/Dogana Tre Fiori
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Tre Fiori
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Tre Fiori
0:1
Nov 8, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Tre Fiori
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juvenes/Dogana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tre Fiori Compare

Top Goalscorer Prandelli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juvenes/Dogana 41 / 100
Tre Fiori 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juvenes/Dogana Tre Fiori

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juvenes/Dogana scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Juvenes/Dogana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tre Fiori lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juvenes/Dogana VS Tre Fiori
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2