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Juventud de Bernal vs Provincial

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur game between Juventud de Bernal and Provincial finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Provincial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Juventud de Bernal
40%
Draws
29%
Provincial
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Provincial come out ahead of Juventud de Bernal on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Juventud de Bernal Clean Sheet 16%
Provincial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud de Bernal Provincial
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Provincial
0:4
Sep 8, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Juventud de Bernal
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Provincial
2:1
Sep 3, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Juventud de Bernal
1:0
Apr 9, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Provincial
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud de Bernal 31 / 100
Provincial 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud de Bernal Provincial

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Provincial conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Provincial lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Juventud de Bernal's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Juventud de Bernal VS Provincial
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Social Atletico Television760111:218
2Deportivo Metalurgico751112:416
3Nautico Hacoaj742110:314
4Defensores de Glew732214:711
5Estrella de Berisso72236:108
6Atletico Pilar71155:124
7Provincial61053:123
8Juventud de Bernal61054:153
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Academia Control Orientado842211:814
3Uribelarrea83325:312
4Belgrano Zarate82424:410
5Buenos Aires City72325:49
6Ezeiza72325:69
7Everton La Plata82245:78
8Alumni Los Hornos82245:78
9Las Mandarinas82246:108