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Juventud de Bernal vs Nautico Hacoaj

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juventud de Bernal play Nautico Hacoaj in the Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025. Nautico Hacoaj are favorites here. Recently, Juventud de Bernal averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Nautico Hacoaj averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. In past meetings, Juventud de Bernal won 1, Nautico Hacoaj won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.25 for Juventud de Bernal and 1.88 for Nautico Hacoaj. This points to a Nautico Hacoaj double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Juventud de Bernal
23%
Draws
58%
Nautico Hacoaj
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Nautico Hacoaj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Juventud de Bernal picked up more points recently compared to Nautico Hacoaj.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.25 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Juventud de Bernal Clean Sheet 10%
Nautico Hacoaj Clean Sheet 26%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud de Bernal Nautico Hacoaj
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.76 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Nautico Hacoaj
0:2
Sep 15, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Nautico Hacoaj
0:2
Aug 24, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Nautico Hacoaj vs Juventud de Bernal
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Nautico Hacoaj
0:0
Mar 14, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Nautico Hacoaj vs Juventud de Bernal
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud de Bernal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Nautico Hacoaj Compare

Top Goalscorer Lief M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud de Bernal 19 / 100
Nautico Hacoaj 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud de Bernal Nautico Hacoaj

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nautico Hacoaj Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nautico Hacoaj & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Juventud de Bernal attacking → ← attacking Nautico Hacoaj

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud de Bernal scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Nautico Hacoaj let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Juventud de Bernal went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Nautico Hacoaj lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 50
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ezeiza1062216:520
2Social Atletico Television1062213:720
3Defensores de Glew1052323:1217
4Belgrano Zarate102627:1112
5Estrella de Berisso102177:167
6Atletico Pilar101364:196
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportivo Metalurgico1062214:420
2Barrancas1053211:1218
3Nautico Hacoaj1052317:617
4Everton La Plata1032511:1011
5Provincial102357:209
6Juventud de Bernal102269:178