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Juventud Unida San Miguel vs El Porvenir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Juventud Unida San Miguel Logo

Juventud Unida San Miguel

0 - 1
FT
El Porvenir Logo

El Porvenir

Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Diaz L.
79'
Rodriguez H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

El Porvenir in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Porvenir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Juventud Unida San Miguel
20%
Draws
29%
El Porvenir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juventud Unida San Miguel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juventud Unida San Miguel lately — more wins on the board than El Porvenir.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Juventud Unida San Miguel Clean Sheet 20%
El Porvenir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Unida San Miguel El Porvenir
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 14
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.28 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primera C
Juventud Unida San Miguel vs El Porvenir
0:1
May 16, 2026 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Juventud Unida San Miguel
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Primera C
Juventud Unida San Miguel vs El Porvenir
1:0
May 4, 2024 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Juventud Unida San Miguel
1:0
Oct 14, 2023 Primera D
El Porvenir vs Juventud Unida San Miguel
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Unida San Miguel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

El Porvenir Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud Unida San Miguel 32 / 100
El Porvenir 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Unida San Miguel El Porvenir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud Unida San Miguel scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

El Porvenir let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Juventud Unida San Miguel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

El Porvenir's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Juventud Unida San Miguel VS El Porvenir
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud Unida San Miguel

(Home)
03 Oct
Juventud Unida San Miguel
3 : 2
Berazategui
26 Sept
Victoriano Arenas
1 : 1
Juventud Unida San Miguel
19 Sept
Juventud Unida San Miguel
2 : 0
CSR Espanol
12 Sept
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 1
El Porvenir
06 Sept
Justo Jose de Urquiza
2 : 0
Juventud Unida San Miguel
Page 1 of 6

El Porvenir

(Away)
05 Oct
El Porvenir
1 : 1
Canuelas
29 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
3 : 2
El Porvenir
21 Sept
El Porvenir
0 : 2
Deportivo Espanol
12 Sept
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 1
El Porvenir
05 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 0
El Porvenir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)