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Juventud vs Bella Vista

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Diaz M.
58' Event
Acosta R.
(Penalty)
74' Event
Amaral U.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2023 game between Juventud and Bella Vista finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juventud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Juventud
35%
Draws
20%
Bella Vista
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juventud come out ahead of Bella Vista on wins alone.
  • Model gives Juventud a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%
Bella Vista Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Bella Vista
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 12 4
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.41 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2025 Copa Uruguay
Bella Vista vs Juventud
1:0
Dec 3, 2023 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Bella Vista
3:0
Jul 29, 2023 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Juventud
1:2
Mar 26, 2023 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Juventud
0:2
Mar 30, 2013 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Bella Vista vs Juventud
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaral U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Bella Vista Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 95 / 100
Bella Vista 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Bella Vista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juventud scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Bella Vista conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Juventud went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0
CA Cerro
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1
Danubio
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
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Bella Vista

(Away)
09 Sept
Bella Vista
1 : 2
Central Esp.
27 Aug
Bella Vista
1 : 0
Juventud
03 Dec
Juventud
3 : 0
Bella Vista
29 Nov
Bella Vista
1 : 1
Atenas
26 Nov
Rampla Juniors
2 : 0
Bella Vista
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