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Juventud vs Club Oriental De Futbol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Peralta R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Juventud
35%
Draws
27%
Club Oriental De Futbol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juventud come out ahead of Club Oriental De Futbol on wins alone.
  • Juventud are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Juventud have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Juventud, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%
Club Oriental De Futbol Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Club Oriental De Futbol
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.36 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Juventud vs Club Oriental De Futbol
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Juventud
3:0
Jul 10, 2024 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Club Oriental De Futbol
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Club Oriental De Futbol
4:2
Oct 9, 2023 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Juventud
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Club Oriental De Futbol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 50 / 100
Club Oriental De Futbol 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Club Oriental De Futbol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Juventud remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Club Oriental De Futbol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Club Oriental De Futbol
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1
Juventud
04 Oct
Boston River
0 : 0
Juventud
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0
CA Cerro
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 6

Club Oriental De Futbol

(Away)
10 Oct
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
04 Oct
Colon
0 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
20 Sept
Rentistas
0 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
17 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Montevideo City 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Danubio 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Atenas 3 0 2 1 7:8 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Cerro Largo 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Rentistas 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Defensor Sp. 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Cerrito 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 CA Cerro 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Wanderers 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Liverpool M. 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fenix 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Colon 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)