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Juventud vs Sud America - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Peralta E.
64' Event
Leguizamon N.

AI Match Summary

Juventud in this Segunda Division 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juventud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Juventud
20%
Draws
17%
Sud America
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juventud lately — more wins on the board than Sud America.
  • Win probability leans Juventud's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Juventud have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%
Sud America Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Sud America
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.27 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2024 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Sud America
1:0
Jun 2, 2024 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Juventud
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Sud America
2:0
Nov 3, 2023 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Sud America
2:0
Jun 18, 2023 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Juventud
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Leguizamon N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Sud America Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 95 / 100
Sud America 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Sud America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Juventud scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Sud America has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Sud America lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1
Juventud
04 Oct
Boston River
0 : 0
Juventud
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0
CA Cerro
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
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Sud America

(Away)
16 Nov
Sud America
0 : 1
Atenas
09 Nov
La Luz
4 : 1
Sud America
02 Nov
Sud America
1 : 2
Uruguay Montevideo FC
19 Oct
Rentistas
2 : 0
Sud America
12 Oct
Sud America
2 : 0
Cooper
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