Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juventud vs Wanderers

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Lago P.
43' Event
Alberti J.
45'
Olivera Moreira L. N.

AI Match Summary

Juventud in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juventud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Juventud
6%
Draws
90%
Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Juventud average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of Wanderers's 1.5.
  • Model gives Wanderers a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Juventud have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Juventud Clean Sheet 16%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Wanderers
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Wanderers
2:5
May 2, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Wanderers
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Copa de la Liga AUF
Juventud vs Wanderers
3:0
Aug 22, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Juventud
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Wanderers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Pernicone P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Alberti J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 10 / 100
Wanderers 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Wanderers has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Juventud went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Wanderers
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
11 Jul
Juventud
1 : 3
Montevideo City
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1
Juventud
06 Jun
Club Nacional
2 : 1
Juventud
31 May
Juventud
2 : 5
Wanderers
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Wanderers

(Away)
17 Jul
Club Nacional
1 : 2
Wanderers
11 Jul
Wanderers
2 : 0
Progreso
05 Jun
Wanderers
0 : 0
Danubio
31 May
Juventud
2 : 5
Wanderers
24 May
Wanderers
1 : 1
Maldonado
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Montevideo1594223:1431
2Maldonado1592424:1629
3Albion1584326:1628
4Penarol1583423:1627
5Central Esp.1573523:2224
6Montevideo City1565422:1623
7Club Nacional1571726:2122
8Defensor Sp.1556413:1121
9Liverpool M.1555520:1820
10Wanderers1562716:2120
11Danubio1546517:2118
12Cerro Largo1552816:1917
13Boston River1552814:2017
14Juventud1543817:2215
15Progreso1524912:2310
16CA Cerro152498:2410
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)