Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juventud vs Wanderers

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Lago P.
43' Event
Alberti J.
45'
Olivera Moreira L. N.

AI Match Summary

Juventud in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juventud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Juventud
35%
Draws
13%
Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juventud lately — more wins on the board than Wanderers.
  • Model gives Juventud a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Juventud have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Wanderers
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.35 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Wanderers
2:5
May 2, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Wanderers
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Copa de la Liga AUF
Juventud vs Wanderers
3:0
Aug 22, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Juventud
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Wanderers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Pernicone P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Alberti J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 95 / 100
Wanderers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Wanderers has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Juventud went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Wanderers
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1
Danubio
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0
Juventud
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Wanderers

(Away)
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1
Wanderers
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1
Club Nacional
09 Sept
Maldonado
4 : 1
Wanderers
05 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0
Wanderers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Montevideo 15 9 4 2 23:14 31
2 Maldonado 15 9 2 4 24:16 29
3 Albion 15 8 4 3 26:16 28
4 Penarol 15 8 3 4 23:16 27
5 Central Esp. 15 7 3 5 23:22 24
6 Montevideo City 15 6 5 4 22:16 23
7 Club Nacional 15 7 1 7 26:21 22
8 Defensor Sp. 15 5 6 4 13:11 21
9 Liverpool M. 15 5 5 5 20:18 20
10 Wanderers 15 6 2 7 16:21 20
11 Danubio 15 4 6 5 17:21 18
12 Cerro Largo 15 5 2 8 16:19 17
13 Boston River 15 5 2 8 14:20 17
14 Juventud 15 4 3 8 17:22 15
15 Progreso 15 2 4 9 12:23 10
16 CA Cerro 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)