Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juventud vs Wanderers

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Juventud Logo

Juventud

2 - 5
FT
Wanderers Logo

Wanderers

Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Rabino R.
10' Event
Alberti J.
12'
Sub
Sanchez R. In: Morosini D.
Out: Sanchez R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Juventud and Wanderers finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Juventud
35%
Draws
25%
Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Wanderers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Juventud a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Juventud here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Wanderers
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Wanderers
2:5
May 2, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Wanderers
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Copa de la Liga AUF
Juventud vs Wanderers
3:0
Aug 22, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Juventud
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Wanderers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pernicone P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Alberti J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivero R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 95 / 100
Wanderers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Wanderers has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Juventud has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Wanderers
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1
Danubio
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0
Juventud
29 Aug
Juventud
2 : 0
Maldonado
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Wanderers

(Away)
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1
Club Nacional
09 Sept
Maldonado
4 : 1
Wanderers
05 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0
Wanderers
01 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1
CA Cerro
28 Aug
Wanderers
3 : 0
Central Esp.
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 7 5 1 1 12:3 16
2 Cerro Largo 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
3 Racing Montevideo 7 2 4 1 4:3 10
4 Liverpool M. 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
5 Central Esp. 7 2 3 2 4:4 9
6 CA Cerro 7 3 0 4 6:10 9
7 Defensor Sp. 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
8 Boston River 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wanderers 7 4 3 0 12:4 15
2 Club Nacional 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
3 Maldonado 7 3 3 1 12:6 12
4 Montevideo City 7 4 0 3 11:11 12
5 Juventud 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
6 Albion 7 1 3 3 6:8 6
7 Progreso 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
8 Danubio 7 0 4 3 5:9 4
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)