Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juventud vs Wanderers

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Rabino R.
10' Event
Alberti J.
12'
Sub
Sanchez R. In: Morosini D.
Out: Sanchez R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Juventud and Wanderers finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Juventud
6%
Draws
90%
Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Juventud's 2 goals per match outpaces what Wanderers have produced (1.5).
  • Model gives Wanderers a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Juventud here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Juventud Clean Sheet 16%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventud Wanderers
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Wanderers
2:5
May 2, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Wanderers
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Copa de la Liga AUF
Juventud vs Wanderers
3:0
Aug 22, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Juventud
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Wanderers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pernicone P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Alberti J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivero R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventud 10 / 100
Wanderers 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventud Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Wanderers has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Juventud has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Juventud VS Wanderers
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
11 Jul
Juventud
1 : 3
Montevideo City
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1
Juventud
06 Jun
Club Nacional
2 : 1
Juventud
31 May
Juventud
2 : 5
Wanderers
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Wanderers

(Away)
17 Jul
Club Nacional
1 : 2
Wanderers
11 Jul
Wanderers
2 : 0
Progreso
05 Jun
Wanderers
0 : 0
Danubio
31 May
Juventud
2 : 5
Wanderers
24 May
Wanderers
1 : 1
Maldonado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol64119:313
2Cerro Largo63217:211
3CA Cerro63035:89
4Liverpool M.62225:58
5Central Esp.62224:48
6Racing Montevideo61413:37
7Boston River61235:95
8Defensor Sp.60334:83
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wanderers633010:412
2Montevideo City640211:912
3Maldonado632112:611
4Club Nacional63126:710
5Juventud62138:117
6Progreso62045:96
7Albion61234:65
8Danubio60333:73
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)