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Juventus Malchika vs Troyan

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2025/2026 game between Juventus Malchika and Troyan finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Troyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Juventus Malchika
15%
Draws
42%
Troyan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juventus Malchika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Troyan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Troyan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Juventus Malchika Clean Sheet 10%
Troyan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventus Malchika Troyan
Matches Played 28 22
Wins 2 5
Draws 2 1
Losses 24 16
Goals Scored 0.57 0.91
Goals Conceded 3.39 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Third League - North-West
Juventus Malchika vs Troyan
0:4
Sep 27, 2025 Third League - North-West
Troyan vs Juventus Malchika
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventus Malchika 10 / 100
Troyan 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventus Malchika Troyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Troyan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Troyan conceded in 82% of 22 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Troyan registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Juventus Malchika's goal record stands at 39% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Juventus Malchika VS Troyan
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventus Malchika

(Home)
19 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
3 : 0
Juventus Malchika
12 Sept
Juventus Malchika
0 : 7
Yantra Polski Trambesh
05 Sept
Etar II
3 : 0
Juventus Malchika
29 Aug
Juventus Malchika
0 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
23 May
FC Lovech
0 : 3
Juventus Malchika
Page 1 of 6

Troyan

(Away)
23 May
OFK Levski
3 : 1
Troyan
16 May
Troyan
1 : 0
Yantra Polski Trambesh
09 May
Troyan
0 : 1
Pavlikeni
03 May
Kom Berkovitsa
4 : 1
Troyan
25 Apr
Troyan
1 : 4
Lokomotiv Mezdra
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)