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Juventus U23 vs Novara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lorenzini F.
Own Goal
16'
Basso G.
18'
Corradi C.

AI Match Summary

Juventus U23 in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juventus U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Juventus U23
35%
Draws
46%
Novara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Novara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Novara have won more games recently than Juventus U23.
  • Novara are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Juventus U23 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Juventus U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Novara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventus U23 Novara
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Juventus U23 vs Novara
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Juventus U23 vs Novara
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Juventus U23
2:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie C - Group A
Juventus U23 vs Novara
2:1
Mar 3, 2021 Serie C - Group A
Juventus U23 vs Novara
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventus U23 28 / 100
Novara 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventus U23 Novara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventus U23's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Novara has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Juventus U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juventus U23 VS Novara
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventus U23

(Home)
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0
Juventus U23
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5
AlbinoLeffe
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0
Juventus U23
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
Juventus U23
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

Novara

(Away)
04 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Novara
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2
Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 8 4 4 0 14:6 16
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)