Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jwayya SC vs Al Ahed

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Jwayya SC Logo

Jwayya SC

0 - 1
FT
Al Ahed Logo

Al Ahed

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ezzeddine H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Ahed in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jwayya SC
30%
Draws
23%
Al Ahed
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jwayya SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ahed have won more games recently than Jwayya SC.
  • Jwayya SC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Jwayya SC Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jwayya SC Al Ahed
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Jwayya SC
2:2
Jul 20, 2026 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Al Ahed
2:0
Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Al Ahed
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Jwayya SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jwayya SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Ahed Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezzeddine H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jwayya SC 59 / 100
Al Ahed 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jwayya SC Al Ahed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jwayya SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jwayya SC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Al Ahed conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Al Ahed registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jwayya SC VS Al Ahed
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jwayya SC

(Home)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
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Al Ahed

(Away)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)