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Jwayya SC vs Safa

Lebanon Lebanon

Lebanese Cup
Sat, Jan 17, 2026
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Haider H.
Assist: Kadouh M.
38' Event
Ayoub J.
Assist: Maatouk H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Jwayya SC
20%
Draws
57%
Safa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Jwayya SC haven't matched Safa's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Safa taking it.
  • Safa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jwayya SC, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Jwayya SC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Jwayya SC Clean Sheet 15%
Safa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jwayya SC Safa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Safa
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Lebanese Cup
Jwayya SC vs Safa
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Jwayya SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jwayya SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayoub J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Haider H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jwayya SC 19 / 100
Safa 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jwayya SC Safa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jwayya SC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Safa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Jwayya SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jwayya SC VS Safa
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Jwayya SC

(Home)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
Page 1 of 6

Safa

(Away)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nejmeh SC 1
Al Ansar 0
Jwayya SC 2
Safa 1
Al Ahed 3
Tadamon 1
Al Hikma 2
Al-Mabarrah 1
Semi-finals
Nejmeh SC 2
Jwayya SC 1
Al Ahed 0
Al Hikma 1
Final
Nejmeh SC 2
Al Hikma 0