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Jwayya SC vs Safa

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Maatouk H.
Penalty Missed
71' Event
Maatouk H.
90' Event
Koita M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Jwayya SC and Safa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Jwayya SC
20%
Draws
57%
Safa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Safa come out ahead of Jwayya SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Safa a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Jwayya SC have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Jwayya SC Clean Sheet 15%
Safa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jwayya SC Safa
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.35 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Safa
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Lebanese Cup
Jwayya SC vs Safa
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Jwayya SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jwayya SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Maatouk H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Safa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jwayya SC 19 / 100
Safa 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jwayya SC Safa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jwayya SC scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Safa conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Jwayya SC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jwayya SC VS Safa
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Jwayya SC

(Home)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
Page 1 of 7

Safa

(Away)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)