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K. Lyra-Lierse vs Ninove

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
De Raes N.
45' Event
Oger D.
75' Event
Achak E.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between K. Lyra-Lierse and Ninove finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward K. Lyra-Lierse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
K. Lyra-Lierse
35%
Draws
28%
Ninove
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: K. Lyra-Lierse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ninove haven't matched K. Lyra-Lierse's recent run of results.
  • K. Lyra-Lierse are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
K. Lyra-Lierse Clean Sheet 20%
Ninove Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric K. Lyra-Lierse Ninove
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.55 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Ninove
3:2
Sep 20, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Ninove vs K. Lyra-Lierse
2:2
Feb 1, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Ninove vs K. Lyra-Lierse
3:3
Aug 31, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Ninove
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

K. Lyra-Lierse Compare

Top Goalscorer Kil S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ninove Compare

Top Goalscorer De Raes N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oger D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

K. Lyra-Lierse 49 / 100
Ninove 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
K. Lyra-Lierse Ninove

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick K. Lyra-Lierse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ninove has conceded goals in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

K. Lyra-Lierse went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

K. Lyra-Lierse scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

K. Lyra-Lierse VS Ninove
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

K. Lyra-Lierse

(Home)
19 Sept
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 2
Heist
12 Sept
Hoogstraten
4 : 4
K. Lyra-Lierse
05 Sept
Mandel United
1 : 1
K. Lyra-Lierse
29 Aug
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 3
Thes Sport
26 Apr
K. Lyra-Lierse
4 : 3
Houtvenne
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Ninove

(Away)
19 Sept
Ninove
4 : 2
Kalken
12 Sept
Oudenaarde
3 : 3
Ninove
05 Sept
Ninove
0 : 2
RFC Wetteren
30 Aug
Eendracht Aalst
3 : 0
Ninove
26 Apr
Ninove
3 : 1
Merelbeke
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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