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K. Lyra-Lierse vs Tienen

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Peffer J.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between K. Lyra-Lierse and Tienen finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward K. Lyra-Lierse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
K. Lyra-Lierse
30%
Draws
18%
Tienen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: K. Lyra-Lierse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • K. Lyra-Lierse's 1.55 goals per match outpaces what Tienen have produced (1.43).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
K. Lyra-Lierse Clean Sheet 68%
Tienen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric K. Lyra-Lierse Tienen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Tienen
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs K. Lyra-Lierse
2:3
Dec 15, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Tienen
2:2
Sep 15, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs K. Lyra-Lierse
0:3
Aug 22, 2010 Belgian Cup
Tienen vs K. Lyra-Lierse
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

K. Lyra-Lierse Compare

Top Goalscorer Peffer J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tienen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

K. Lyra-Lierse 41 / 100
Tienen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
K. Lyra-Lierse Tienen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick K. Lyra-Lierse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

K. Lyra-Lierse has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tienen let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Tienen registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

K. Lyra-Lierse VS Tienen
2 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

K. Lyra-Lierse

(Home)
19 Sept
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 2
Heist
12 Sept
Hoogstraten
4 : 4
K. Lyra-Lierse
05 Sept
Mandel United
1 : 1
K. Lyra-Lierse
29 Aug
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 3
Thes Sport
26 Apr
K. Lyra-Lierse
4 : 3
Houtvenne
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Tienen

(Away)
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
06 Sept
Leuven B
2 : 1
Tienen
30 Aug
Tienen
3 : 4
Dessel
23 Aug
Tienen
0 : 1
KV Mechelen 2
07 Aug
Tienen
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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