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KA Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akureyrarvöllur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Bjarnason J.
31'
Robertsson T.
39'
Jonsson B.

AI Match Summary

Hafnarfjordur in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hafnarfjordur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
KA Akureyri
20%
Draws
47%
Hafnarfjordur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hafnarfjordur haven't matched KA Akureyri's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hafnarfjordur's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 15%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KA Akureyri Hafnarfjordur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri
3:0
Aug 9, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur
0:1
May 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri
1:2
Jul 13, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri
5:0
Apr 27, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KA Akureyri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Olafsson I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KA Akureyri 19 / 100
Hafnarfjordur 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KA Akureyri Hafnarfjordur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hafnarfjordur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hafnarfjordur conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

KA Akureyri found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: KA Akureyri stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KA Akureyri VS Hafnarfjordur
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KA Akureyri

(Home)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Hafnarfjordur

(Away)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)