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KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akureyrarvöllur, Akureyri
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KA Akureyri host IBV Vestmannaeyjar in the Besta deild karla. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. KA Akureyri have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against IBV Vestmannaeyjar's 1.37 scored and 2.07 conceded. Past meetings favor KA Akureyri slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.63, favoring KA Akureyri. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
KA Akureyri
30%
Draws
12%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KA Akureyri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KA Akureyri lately — more wins on the board than IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
  • Model gives KA Akureyri a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 14%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KA Akureyri IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.69 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KA Akureyri
2:2
May 10, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KA Akureyri
3:4
Aug 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1:0
May 18, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KA Akureyri
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KA Akureyri 84 / 100
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KA Akureyri IBV Vestmannaeyjar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KA Akureyri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IBV Vestmannaeyjar let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: KA Akureyri scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: KA Akureyri stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KA Akureyri VS IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KA Akureyri

(Home)
10 Oct
Stjarnan
0 : 3
KA Akureyri
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

(Away)
10 Oct
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valur 25 9 4 12 47:52 31
2 Stjarnan 25 9 4 12 46:58 31
3 Hafnarfjordur 25 7 9 9 40:44 30
4 KA Akureyri 25 7 5 13 41:51 26
5 Thor Akureyri 25 7 3 15 24:57 24
6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 25 4 7 14 33:49 19
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)