Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Rae L.
(Penalty)
90' Event

AI Match Summary

KR Reykjavik in this League Cup tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
KA Akureyri
6%
Draws
90%
KR Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KR Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KR Reykjavik lately — more wins on the board than KA Akureyri.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on KR Reykjavik taking it.
  • KR Reykjavik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor KR Reykjavik, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KA Akureyri KR Reykjavik
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.63 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.75 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
5:3
Jan 31, 2026 League Cup
KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
4:2
Jul 6, 2025 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KA Akureyri 10 / 100
KR Reykjavik 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KA Akureyri KR Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KRR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KA Akureyri scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

KR Reykjavik let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: KA Akureyri remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KA Akureyri VS KR Reykjavik
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

KA Akureyri

(Home)
19 Jul
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
12 Jul
KA Akureyri
3 : 2
Akranes
02 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
3 : 2
KA Akureyri
28 Jun
Stjarnan
3 : 1
KA Akureyri
21 Jun
Breidablik
3 : 1
KA Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

KR Reykjavik

(Away)
19 Jul
KR Reykjavik
5 : 0
Stjarnan
12 Jul
KR Reykjavik
5 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
02 Jul
Thor Akureyri
3 : 3
KR Reykjavik
28 Jun
Keflavik
3 : 2
KR Reykjavik
22 Jun
KR Reykjavik
5 : 3
Akranes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stjarnan541017:613
2Keflavik531113:1010
3Kopavogur531110:1210
4Fram520317:116
5Vestri511310:144
6Aegir50053:170
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thor Akureyri431014:310
2Akranes42117:57
3Valur42028:76
4Afturelding42024:106
5Grotta40042:100
6Volsungur00000:00
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KR Reykjavik531116:610
2Vikingur Reykjavik53116:310
3Njardvik52218:98
4IR Reykjavik521211:137
5KA Akureyri51135:74
6Grindavik50235:132
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fylkir540113:512
2Throttur430111:89
3Leiknir Reykjavik52037:136
4Hafnarfjordur51138:64
5IBV Vestmannaeyjar31115:54
6Breidablik41033:103
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)