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KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akureyrarvöllur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Hlynsson B.
22'
Palsson A.
26'
Gislason F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
KA Akureyri
15%
Draws
39%
Thor Akureyri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KA Akureyri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: KA Akureyri at 1.64 per game, Thor Akureyri at 1.18.
  • Win probability leans KA Akureyri's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • KA Akureyri have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 15%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KA Akureyri Thor Akureyri
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.64 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri
3:0
Jul 27, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri
0:0
May 2, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs KA Akureyri
0:1
Mar 2, 2023 League Cup
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri
1:0
Sep 24, 2016 Division 1
Thor Akureyri vs KA Akureyri
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KA Akureyri 66 / 100
Thor Akureyri 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KA Akureyri Thor Akureyri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KA Akureyri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thor Akureyri has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

KA Akureyri found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: KA Akureyri stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KA Akureyri VS Thor Akureyri
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KA Akureyri

(Home)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Thor Akureyri

(Away)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)