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KA Akureyri vs Valur Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akureyrarvöllur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Omarsson O. In: Palsson J.
Out: Omarsson O.
41' Event
Skoglund A.
46'
Sub
Palsson A. In: Stole I.
Out: Palsson A.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between KA Akureyri and Valur finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
KA Akureyri
30%
Draws
37%
Valur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valur come out ahead of KA Akureyri on wins alone.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KA Akureyri Valur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Valur vs KA Akureyri
4:4
May 22, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Valur
0:1
Jun 27, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Valur
2:5
Apr 23, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs KA Akureyri
3:1
Aug 6, 2024 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Valur
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KA Akureyri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Valur Compare

Top Goalscorer Skoglund A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KA Akureyri 34 / 100
Valur 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KA Akureyri Valur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valur let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

KA Akureyri's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

KA Akureyri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KA Akureyri VS Valur
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

KA Akureyri

(Home)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Valur

(Away)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 0
Valur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)