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Kaaro Karungi vs Catda Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League 2025/2026 game between Kaaro Karungi and Catda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaaro Karungi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kaaro Karungi
15%
Draws
45%
Catda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Catda have managed 0.77 goals a game lately — Kaaro Karungi are scoring more at 0.89.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Catda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Kaaro Karungi Clean Sheet 20%
Catda Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaaro Karungi Catda
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.89 0.77
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Catda
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Big League
Catda vs Kaaro Karungi
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaaro Karungi 28 / 100
Catda 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaaro Karungi Catda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaaro Karungi found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Catda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Kaaro Karungi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kaaro Karungi VS Catda
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaaro Karungi

(Home)
04 Oct
Pakwach Young Stars
3 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
27 Sept
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Wakiso Giants
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Catda

(Away)
04 Oct
SC Volcanoes
1 : 0
Catda
27 Sept
Catda
2 : 0
Rwenzori Lions
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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