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Kaaro Karungi vs Paidha Black Angels - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
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AI Match Summary

Paidha Black Angels in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paidha Black Angels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Kaaro Karungi
15%
Draws
58%
Paidha Black Angels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paidha Black Angels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paidha Black Angels lately — more wins on the board than Kaaro Karungi.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Kaaro Karungi Clean Sheet 20%
Paidha Black Angels Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaaro Karungi Paidha Black Angels
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.82 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Paidha Black Angels
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Paidha Black Angels
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Kaaro Karungi
2:0
May 29, 2025 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Kaaro Karungi
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Paidha Black Angels
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaaro Karungi 31 / 100
Paidha Black Angels 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaaro Karungi Paidha Black Angels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaaro Karungi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaaro Karungi's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Paidha Black Angels conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Kaaro Karungi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kaaro Karungi VS Paidha Black Angels
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaaro Karungi

(Home)
08 Oct
Calvary
2 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
04 Oct
Pakwach Young Stars
3 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
27 Sept
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
Page 1 of 6

Paidha Black Angels

(Away)
04 Oct
Paidha Black Angels
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
27 Sept
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Young Elephant Academy 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Amus College FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Pakwach Young Stars 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
5 Kiyinda Boys 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Catda 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 SC Volcanoes 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Calvary 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Iganga United 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Rwenzori Lions 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
11 Buwambo United 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
12 Onduparaka 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Kaaro Karungi 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)