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Kabati vs Mombasa United

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Kabati and Mombasa United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mombasa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kabati
30%
Draws
31%
Mombasa United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kabati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Medium Confidence
  • Kabati haven't matched Mombasa United's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Kabati Clean Sheet 68%
Mombasa United Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kabati Mombasa United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 19
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Super League
Mombasa United vs Kabati
2:0
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
Kabati vs Mombasa United
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kabati 41 / 100
Mombasa United 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kabati Mombasa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kabati scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Kabati has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Mombasa United conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kabati VS Mombasa United
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kabati

(Home)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
1 : 2
Kabati
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
Page 1 of 6

Mombasa United

(Away)
13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1
Mombasa United
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0
3K FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1
Mombasa United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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