Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kabwe vs Mutondo Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kabwe host Mutondo Stars in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Kabwe have averaged 1 scored and 0.84 conceded recently, against Mutondo Stars's 0.72 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Kabwe have won 3 to Mutondo Stars's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.13) point toward Kabwe. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Kabwe
35%
Draws
45%
Mutondo Stars
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mutondo Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kabwe lately — more wins on the board than Mutondo Stars.
  • Model gives Kabwe a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Kabwe Clean Sheet 20%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kabwe Mutondo Stars
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 7 12
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Super League
Kabwe vs Mutondo Stars
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe
1:2
Apr 2, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe
0:0
Nov 27, 2024 Super League
Kabwe vs Mutondo Stars
1:0
May 18, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Kabwe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kabwe 36 / 100
Mutondo Stars 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kabwe Mutondo Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kabwe scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Mutondo Stars let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Kabwe has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kabwe VS Mutondo Stars
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kabwe

(Home)
03 Oct
Kabwe
1 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Muza Fc
2 : 1
Kabwe
20 May
Kabwe
0 : 0
Zanaco
16 May
Kabwe
0 : 1
Zesco
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
Page 1 of 7

Mutondo Stars

(Away)
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
13 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 2
Mutondo Stars
02 May
Mutondo Stars
1 : 0
Red Arrows
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Konkola Blades 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Zanaco 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Nkana 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 NAPSA Stars 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Muza Fc 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kansanshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Makeni All Stars 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Power Dynamos 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Nchanga Rangers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Trident 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Red Arrows 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Green Buffaloes FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Roan United 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Zesco 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kabwe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Nkwazi 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Mutondo Stars 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
9 Chirundu United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Mufulira Wanderers 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)