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Kabwe vs Zesco

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Kabwe and Zesco finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zesco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Kabwe
33%
Draws
40%
Zesco
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zesco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kabwe come out ahead of Zesco on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Zesco's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Kabwe Clean Sheet 20%
Zesco Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kabwe Zesco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Super League
Kabwe vs Zesco
0:1
Jan 17, 2026 Super League
Zesco vs Kabwe
1:0
Apr 9, 2025 Super League
Kabwe vs Zesco
0:1
Nov 30, 2024 Super League
Zesco vs Kabwe
0:2
Apr 4, 2024 Super League
Kabwe vs Zesco
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kabwe 28 / 100
Zesco 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kabwe Zesco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabwe found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Zesco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Kabwe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Kabwe VS Zesco
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%