Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kabylie vs ES Setif

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium, Tizi Ouzou
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Izem Y.
43' Event
Mahious A.
46'
Sub
Daibeche O. In: Bouchagoura I.
Out: Daibeche O.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Kabylie and ES Setif finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kabylie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Kabylie
20%
Draws
48%
ES Setif
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ES Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • ES Setif carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kabylie Clean Sheet 19%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kabylie ES Setif
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 13 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Kabylie vs ES Setif
5:1
Dec 19, 2025 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Kabylie
1:0
Jun 12, 2025 Ligue 1
Kabylie vs ES Setif
2:0
Dec 13, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Kabylie
2:2
Mar 15, 2024 Ligue 1
Kabylie vs ES Setif
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kabylie Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahious A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Izem Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

ES Setif Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamek M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kabylie 32 / 100
ES Setif 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kabylie ES Setif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabylie found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

ES Setif has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kabylie stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kabylie VS ES Setif
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kabylie

(Home)
05 Jun
Kabylie
0 : 0
CR Belouizdad
20 May
ASO Chlef
1 : 2
Kabylie
08 May
Kabylie
5 : 1
ES Setif
29 Apr
Kabylie
1 : 2
Oran
22 Apr
Olympique Akbou
1 : 1
Kabylie
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ES Setif

(Away)
20 Aug
ES Setif
2 : 1
Magra
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
20 May
ES Setif
1 : 0
MC Alger
16 May
ES Setif
3 : 1
CR Belouizdad
08 May
Kabylie
5 : 1
ES Setif
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)