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KAC Kenitra vs AS Mansouria

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with KAC Kenitra advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
KAC Kenitra
20%
Draws
51%
AS Mansouria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Mansouria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AS Mansouria haven't matched KAC Kenitra's recent run of results.
  • Model gives KAC Kenitra a 42% chance of winning this.
  • KAC Kenitra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor KAC Kenitra, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
KAC Kenitra Clean Sheet 20%
AS Mansouria Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KAC Kenitra AS Mansouria
Matches Played 31 5
Wins 7 2
Draws 13 1
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 1.06 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Botola 2
KAC Kenitra vs AS Mansouria
2:0
Jul 18, 2026 Botola 2
AS Mansouria vs KAC Kenitra
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KAC Kenitra 42 / 100
AS Mansouria 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KAC Kenitra AS Mansouria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KAC Kenitra's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

AS Mansouria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 40% of 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: KAC Kenitra remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KAC Kenitra VS AS Mansouria
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KAC Kenitra

(Home)
26 Sept
KAC Kenitra
0 : 1
Wydad Fes
22 Jul
KAC Kenitra
2 : 0
AS Mansouria
18 Jul
AS Mansouria
0 : 0
KAC Kenitra
05 Jul
Chabab Mohammedia
4 : 3
KAC Kenitra
27 Jun
KAC Kenitra
1 : 2
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
Page 1 of 7

AS Mansouria

(Away)
22 Jul
KAC Kenitra
2 : 0
AS Mansouria
18 Jul
AS Mansouria
0 : 0
KAC Kenitra
07 Jul
AS Mansouria
0 : 1
Berkane
20 Mar
AS Mansouria
1 : 0
IR Tanger
12 Mar
AS Mansouria
1 : 0
Moghreb Tetouan

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
KAC Kenitra 2
AS Mansouria 0
US Boujaad 5
Rapide Oued Zem 1