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KAC Kenitra vs USM Oujda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KAC Kenitra host USM Oujda in the Botola 2. This one's hard to separate. USM Oujda have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while KAC Kenitra have conceded 1.1 and scored 1. Past meetings favor USM Oujda slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.06) back USM Oujda to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
KAC Kenitra
20%
Draws
47%
USM Oujda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USM Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • USM Oujda have won more games recently than KAC Kenitra.
  • Win probability leans KAC Kenitra's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
KAC Kenitra Clean Sheet 20%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KAC Kenitra USM Oujda
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Botola 2
KAC Kenitra vs USM Oujda
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs KAC Kenitra
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Botola 2
KAC Kenitra vs USM Oujda
0:0
Oct 4, 2024 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs KAC Kenitra
2:1
Apr 29, 2018 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs KAC Kenitra
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KAC Kenitra 42 / 100
USM Oujda 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KAC Kenitra USM Oujda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KAC Kenitra found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

USM Oujda has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

KAC Kenitra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

KAC Kenitra VS USM Oujda
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KAC Kenitra

(Home)
17 Oct
KAC Kenitra
1 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
10 Oct
US Boujaad
1 : 1
KAC Kenitra
04 Oct
KAC Kenitra
0 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
26 Sept
KAC Kenitra
0 : 1
Wydad Fes
22 Jul
KAC Kenitra
2 : 0
AS Mansouria
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USM Oujda

(Away)
18 Oct
Wydad Fes
4 : 1
USM Oujda
10 Oct
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Olympique de Safi
04 Oct
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yacoub El Mansour 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Dcheira 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 Wydad Fes 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
4 Ittihad Khemisset 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Olympique de Safi 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
6 USM Oujda 4 2 1 1 5:6 7
7 Stade Marocain 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
8 Mouloudia Oujda 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
9 Jeunesse Massira 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
10 Olympique Khouribga 4 1 1 2 6:4 4
11 Chabab Benguerir 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
12 KAC Kenitra 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
13 US Boujaad 4 0 3 1 2:5 3
14 Chabab Mohammedia 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
15 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
16 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Botola Pro 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)