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Kaedi vs Nouakchott Academy Prediction & H2H Stats

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Coulibaly M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Kaedi and Nouakchott Academy finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaedi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Kaedi
30%
Draws
43%
Nouakchott Academy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nouakchott Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nouakchott Academy come out ahead of Kaedi on wins alone.
  • Nouakchott Academy are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 20%
Nouakchott Academy Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaedi Nouakchott Academy
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.94 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Nouakchott Academy
1:0
Nov 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouakchott Academy vs Kaedi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaedi Compare

Top Goalscorer Coulibaly M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Nouakchott Academy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaedi 20 / 100
Nouakchott Academy 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaedi Nouakchott Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouakchott Academy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaedi scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Kaedi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nouakchott Academy let in goals in 50% of their last 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kaedi VS Nouakchott Academy
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaedi

(Home)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 7

Nouakchott Academy

(Away)
24 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 1
SNIM
18 May
Pompiers
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
11 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
07 May
Nouakchott King's
1 : 2
Nouakchott Academy
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)